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Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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A throwing game script is suggested by the Chargers being a -6-point underdog in this week's contest.The projections expect the Chargers to be the 10th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.6 plays per game.The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.Quentin Johnston's 88.4% Route Participation Rate this season represents a remarkable growth in his pass attack volume over last season's 78.4% figure.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Chargers are predicted by the model to call just 62.9 total plays in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Chiefs, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.5 per game) this year.After accumulating 70.0 air yards per game last season, Quentin Johnston has produced significantly less this season, now sitting at 61.0 per game.The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.Quentin Johnston's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects an impressive diminishment in his effectiveness in space over last year's 5.5% figure.
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