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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-111/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 131.1 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
  • The leading projections forecast Puka Nacua to be a more important option in his offense's air attack near the end zone this week (27.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (16.7% in games he has played).
  • Puka Nacua has totaled far more air yards this season (108.0 per game) than he did last season (75.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Rams are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual approach.
  • The weatherman calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Rams ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • With an impressive rate of 0.14 rushing touchdowns per game (94th percentile), Puka Nacua places as one of the top rushing touchdown-scorers in football when it comes to WRs and TEs this year.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 2nd-most TDs in the league (1.60 per game) versus the Ravens defense this year.

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