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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 21

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+132/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -144 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -136.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Rams to be the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 64.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see 131.0 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower rush volume.
  • The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (34.1 per game) this year.
  • After accruing 75.0 air yards per game last season, Puka Nacua has produced significantly more this season, now averaging 98.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Puka Nacua, who has garnered 1.2% of his offense's carries near the end zone this year (88th percentile), is fortunate to be in the unique position (for a wideout) of being involved in the Los Angeles red zone running game.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • The Seahawks pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.6%) versus wide receivers this year (59.6%).

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