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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 20

Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Rams to be the most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.
  • After accumulating 75.0 air yards per game last season, Puka Nacua has produced significantly more this season, currently pacing 99.0 per game.
  • Puka Nacua rates in the 94th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) with a remarkable 68.1 figure this year.
  • Puka Nacua's 81.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a noteable gain in his receiving skills over last season's 76.1% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Rams being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.
  • The Rams are willing to include receivers in their ground game, and Puka Nacua has garnered 1.2% of red zone carries this year (0th among WRs).
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the worst in football this year.
  • The Chicago Bears defensive tackles profile as the 5th-worst collection of DTs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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