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Puka Nacua Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

Puka Nacua Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

After totaling 75.0 air yards per game last year, Puka Nacua has seen a big uptick this year, now boasting 92.0 per game.

Puka Nacua's 66.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the NFL: 93rd percentile for wide receivers.

Puka Nacua's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 76.1% to 81.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Rams being a huge 10.5-point favorite in this game.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.

The Rams are willing to include receivers in their ground game, and Puka Nacua has received 1.2% of red zone rush attempts this year (0th among wideouts).

This year, the imposing Panthers defense has allowed a feeble 62.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 7th-best rate in football.

More Puka Nacua Player Props

Puka Nacua TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

Puka Nacua Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19