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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-142/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 59.1% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • While Puka Nacua has been responsible for 15.1% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Los Angeles's passing offense near the end zone in this week's contest at 25.0%.
  • Puka Nacua has posted far more air yards this season (95.0 per game) than he did last season (75.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 6th-most TDs in football (1.19 per game) against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Arizona's DE corps has been lousy this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

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