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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+138/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (38.4 per game) this year.
  • Our trusted projections expect Puka Nacua to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense near the end zone in this contest (26.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (13.3% in games he has played).
  • After averaging 75.0 air yards per game last year, Puka Nacua has shown good development this year, currently boasting 89.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • The Rams are willing to include receivers in their running game, and Puka Nacua has garnered 1.6% of red zone carries this year (0th among wide receivers).
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Puka Nacua has rushed for 0.07 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest marks in football when it comes to wide receivers and tight ends (91st percentile).
  • This year, the daunting Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded a paltry 58.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 4th-best rate in football.

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