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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+107/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in football (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Rams.
  • The model projects Puka Nacua to be much more involved in his team's passing offense near the end zone in this game (23.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (14.5% in games he has played).
  • Puka Nacua has totaled significantly more air yards this season (81.0 per game) than he did last season (75.0 per game).
  • Puka Nacua's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 76.1% to 84.8%.
  • Puka Nacua grades out in the 79th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.36 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Rams, who are overwhelmingly favored by 10 points.
  • Based on the game dynamics and play styles of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.54 seconds per play) will play at the 11th-most sluggish pace out of all the games this week.
  • The Rams are willing to include receivers in their running game, and Puka Nacua has received 2.2% of red zone rush attempts this year (0th among wide receivers).
  • When talking about pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
  • With a fantastic ratio of 0.09 rushing touchdowns per game (93rd percentile), Puka Nacua has been among the top rushing TD-scorers in the NFL among wide receivers and tight ends this year.

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