reorder

Puka Nacua Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

Puka Nacua Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/+109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +113 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.0% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.9 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.

While Puka Nacua has accounted for 17.8% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's offense near the goal line in this game at 26.5%.

Puka Nacua has put up significantly more air yards this season (94.0 per game) than he did last season (75.0 per game).

Puka Nacua's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 76.1% to 85.8%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Rams are a 6-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.

The Rams are willing to include receivers in their rushing attack, and Puka Nacua has earned 3.1% of red zone rush attempts this year (0th among wideouts).

The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Puka Nacua has run for 0.11 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the league when it comes to wide receivers and tight ends (95th percentile).

More Puka Nacua Player Props

Puka Nacua TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

Puka Nacua Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10