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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 134.5 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.
  • In this contest, Puka Nacua is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 98th percentile among wide receivers with 10.6 targets.
  • This year, the shaky Bears pass defense has surrendered a massive 67.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the worst rate in the league.
  • The Bears linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year in regard to pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Rams being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

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