Puka Nacua Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Puka Nacua

NFL · Player Props

Puka Nacua

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 20, 2025

Updated Jan 18, 2026 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Puka Nacua Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 134.5 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.
In this contest, Puka Nacua is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 98th percentile among wide receivers with 10.6 targets.
This year, the shaky Bears pass defense has surrendered a massive 67.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the worst rate in the league.
The Bears linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year in regard to pass rush.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is indicated by the Rams being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

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