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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast Puka Nacua to garner 10.5 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
  • With an extraordinary 30.9% Target Share (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Puka Nacua stands as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • Puka Nacua grades out as one of the leading wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 7.4 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.
  • Puka Nacua's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 76.1% to 92.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Rams being a 5.5-point favorite this week.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 57.2% of their downs: the 11th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 27.9 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.
  • The Tennessee Titans safeties grade out as the 5th-best group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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