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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Rams

Puka Nacua Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-143/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are anticipated by the predictive model to run 65.6 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may slide.

The leading projections forecast Puka Nacua to garner 10.6 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.

With an extraordinary 30.9% Target Share (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Puka Nacua stands as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league.

Puka Nacua grades out as one of the leading wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 7.4 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Rams being a 5.5-point favorite this week.

The Rams rank as the 10th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 59.1% pass rate.

Los Angeles's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially propped up a bit (and rushing stats decreased) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to expect some regression with windier conditions in this week's game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 27.9 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.

When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.

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