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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-160/+130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the league (65.2% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Rams.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The leading projections forecast Puka Nacua to notch 12.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • With an impressive 30.6% Target% (96th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua rates among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a huge 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the worst in the NFL this year.

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