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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-165/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (38.4 per game) this year.
  • This week, Puka Nacua is projected by the projections to secure a spot in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 12.0 targets.
  • With an extraordinary 30.2% Target Share (97th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua stands among the wide receivers with the highest volume in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the daunting Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded a paltry 58.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 4th-best rate in football.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's safety corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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