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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -175.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • In this game, Puka Nacua is anticipated by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs with 11.5 targets.
  • With a high 30.1% Target Share (97th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua ranks among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 5.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a lowly 54.7 per game on average).
  • This year, the imposing Detroit Lions defense has surrendered a puny 62.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 9th-lowest rate in the league.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Detroit's safety corps has been terrific this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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