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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to run the 7th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally mean increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.4 per game) this year.
  • The model projects Puka Nacua to garner 11.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
  • The Rams offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The Seahawks pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59.8%) to WRs this year (59.8%).
  • The Seattle Seahawks safeties profile as the 7th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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