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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -156.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.0% pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.9 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
  • In this week's game, Puka Nacua is expected by the projections to position himself in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 11.6 targets.
  • Puka Nacua has been a big part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 31.0% this year, which places him in the 96th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Puka Nacua grades out as one of the best pass-catching WRs this year, averaging an exceptional 6.8 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 99th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 6-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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