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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 90.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 91.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 90.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in football (64.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 141.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically cause better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • The projections expect Puka Nacua to accrue 11.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • With a sizeable 32.2% Target% (98th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua stands as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Rams, who are a huge favorite by 14 points.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.
  • Puka Nacua's ability to generate extra yardage has worsened this year, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.53 rate last year.
  • The Saints defense has given up the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 125.0) to wide receivers this year.

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