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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 98.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 97.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 98.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 131.1 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
  • The predictive model expects Puka Nacua to accrue 11.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Puka Nacua's 35.3% Target Share this season reflects a remarkable gain in his passing game workload over last season's 30.1% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Rams are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual approach.
  • The weatherman calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Rams ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Puka Nacua's ability to generate extra yardage has declined this season, accumulating a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.53 mark last season.
  • The Ravens safeties profile as the 9th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

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