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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 91.5 (-101/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 92.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 91.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Rams to be the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 64.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see 131.0 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower rush volume.
  • The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (34.1 per game) this year.
  • In this game, Puka Nacua is forecasted by the predictive model to land in the 95th percentile among wideouts with 11.6 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Puka Nacua's ability to pick up extra yardage has tailed off this year, notching a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.53 figure last year.
  • The Seahawks pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.6%) versus wide receivers this year (59.6%).
  • This year, the strong Seattle Seahawks defense has given up the least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wide receivers: a feeble 6.7 yards.
  • The Seahawks safeties rank as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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