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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 99.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 100.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 99.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Rams to be the most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 134.3 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.
  • In this contest, Puka Nacua is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 100th percentile among wide receivers with 11.1 targets.
  • With an extraordinary 31.0% Target Rate (97th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua stands as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in football.
  • After accumulating 75.0 air yards per game last season, Puka Nacua has produced significantly more this season, currently pacing 99.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Rams being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the worst in football this year.
  • Puka Nacua's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a significant drop-off in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 6.5% figure.

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