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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 90.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 90.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 90.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this game, Puka Nacua is predicted by the projections to rank in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs with 10.0 targets.
  • Puka Nacua has been heavily involved in his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 30.4% this year, which puts him in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • After totaling 75.0 air yards per game last year, Puka Nacua has seen a big uptick this year, now boasting 92.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Rams being a huge 10.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.
  • Puka Nacua's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season conveys a noteworthy diminishment in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 6.5% mark.
  • This year, the fierce Carolina Panthers defense has yielded a mere 118.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 7th-fewest in football.

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