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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 84.5 (-114/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 96.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 84.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 59.0% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • This week, Puka Nacua is forecasted by the model to place in the 100th percentile among WRs with 12.0 targets.
  • With an extraordinary 30.4% Target% (97th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua has been as one of the WRs with the most usage in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Puka Nacua's talent in picking up extra yardage have worsened this season, accumulating just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.53 rate last season.

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