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Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 88.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 94.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 88.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.The predictive model expects the Rams to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.99 seconds per play.The Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (38.4 per game) this year.This week, Puka Nacua is projected by the projections to secure a spot in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 12.0 targets.With an extraordinary 30.2% Target Share (97th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua stands among the wide receivers with the highest volume in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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When talking about pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.Puka Nacua's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a substantial drop-off in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 6.5% rate.This year, the fierce Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered a meager 112.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the fewest in the NFL.The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against wide receivers this year, yielding 6.20 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the league.When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's safety corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL.
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