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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 90.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 85.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 90.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Rams to be the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.3% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Our trusted projections expect Puka Nacua to notch 11.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
  • Puka Nacua has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 29.9% this year, which ranks in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 8-point advantage, the Rams are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
  • The Rams have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 54.4 plays per game.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Puka Nacua's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a meaningful diminishment in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 6.5% figure.
  • The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has given up the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (63%) to wideouts this year (63.0%).

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