Puka Nacua Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Puka Nacua

NFL · Player Props

Puka Nacua

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 11, 2025

Updated Nov 16, 2025 9:07 PM EST

Analysis

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 89.5 (-101/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 87.5 @ -144 before it was bet up to 89.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally mean increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower run volume.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.4 per game) this year.
The model projects Puka Nacua to garner 11.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
The Rams offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Puka Nacua's ability to grind out extra yardage has worsened this season, compiling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.53 mark last season.
The Seahawks pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59.9%) to WRs this year (59.9%).
The Seahawks pass defense has shown good efficiency versus WRs this year, allowing 6.69 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in football.

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