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Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 91.5 (-112/-112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.0% pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.9 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
  • In this week's game, Puka Nacua is expected by the projections to position himself in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 11.6 targets.
  • Puka Nacua has been a big part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 31.0% this year, which places him in the 96th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Puka Nacua has put up significantly more air yards this season (94.0 per game) than he did last season (75.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 6-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Puka Nacua's 82.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year conveys a substantial regression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 93.0 figure.
  • Puka Nacua's skills in generating extra yardage have tailed off this season, compiling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.53 figure last season.

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