P.J. Walker Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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P.J. Walker

NFL · Player Props

P.J. Walker

QB · Carolina Panthers

Completions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

P.J. Walker Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers will be starting backup QB PJ Walker in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
The Carolina Panthers O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Phillip Walker's passing precision has been refined this year, with his Completion% rising from 53.0% to 61.1%.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.58 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Phillip Walker to attempt 32.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.

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