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Phillip Lindsay

Phillip Lindsay Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Phillip Lindsay Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-135/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Indianapolis Colts have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.2 plays per game.
  • The Denver Broncos defensive ends project as the worst collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The Denver Broncos have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have risked going for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.33 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Phillip Lindsay has been on the field for 15.9% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, ranking in the 16th percentile among RBs.
  • The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year at run-game blocking.
  • Phillip Lindsay's running effectiveness (2.57 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league since the start of last season (20th percentile among running backs).

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