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Philip Rivers

Philip Rivers TD Passes
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Philip Rivers TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-126/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -126.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Indianapolis Colts will be forced to use backup QB Philip Rivers in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • At a -13-point disadvantage, the Colts are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.
  • The Colts offensive line ranks as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (50.8% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Colts.
  • The leading projections forecast the Colts to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Colts have run the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-lowest clip in the NFL against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year (66.8% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the daunting Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded a puny 1.23 passing touchdowns per game to opposing teams: the 7th-lowest rate in the league.

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