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Philip Rivers

Philip Rivers Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Philip Rivers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+140/-167).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -167.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 2nd-most run-heavy team in the NFL (44.3% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Indianapolis Colts.
  • The 49ers defensive tackles project as the 2nd-worst collection of DTs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Colts, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to call the 3rd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a measly 54.9 per game on average).
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • In this contest, Philip Rivers is anticipated by the predictive model to garner the 5th-fewest rush attempts out of all QBs with 1.9.

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