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Philip Rivers

Philip Rivers Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Philip Rivers Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+107/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ +107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Colts, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 55.7% pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to call the 3rd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a measly 54.9 per game on average).

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