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Philip Rivers Completions
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

Philip Rivers Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-109/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Colts, who are -6-point underdogs.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-most in football.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

This year, the porous San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded a whopping 72.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 10th-biggest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Colts to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 55.7% pass rate.

The predictive model expects the Colts to call the 3rd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a measly 54.9 per game on average).

More Philip Rivers Player Props

Philip Rivers CompletionsPlayer Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

Philip Rivers Completions
Player Prop Week 16