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Pharaoh Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals

Pharaoh Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+5000/-19500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -8500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -19500.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Arizona Cardinals.

The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per snap.

This year, the anemic Cincinnati Bengals defense has been torched for a monstrous 1.00 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing tight ends: the worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Pharaoh Brown has posted a meager 0.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 3rd percentile among TEs.

Pharaoh Brown's 1.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the worst in football: 16th percentile for tight ends.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year.

Pharaoh Brown grades out in the 1st percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.

More Pharaoh Brown Player Props

Pharaoh Brown TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals

Pharaoh Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17