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Payne Durham Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Payne Durham Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2800/-2900).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +2800 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +2800.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread implies a passing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -6-point underdogs.

Right now, the 7th-most pass-focused team in football near the goal line (59.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Buccaneers.

The Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Bills linebackers project as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are forecasted by the model to call only 62.1 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.

The Buffalo Bills defense has surrendered the fewest receiving TDs in the NFL to TEs: 0.11 per game this year.

The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-most TDs in football (1.56 per game) versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year.

More Payne Durham Player Props

Payne Durham TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Payne Durham Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11