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Patrick Taylor

Patrick Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Patrick Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • While Patrick Taylor has garnered 1.9% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of San Francisco's pass game in this contest at 7.0%.
  • Patrick Taylor has totaled a staggering 1.0 air yards per game this year: 77th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This may not sound too impressive, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • This year, the poor Miami Dolphins defense has conceded a monstrous 38.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing running backs: the 9th-most in the league.
  • This year, the feeble Miami Dolphins defense has conceded the 8th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing RBs: a whopping 7.90 YAC.
  • The Dolphins linebackers rank as the 9th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the 49ers as the 11th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The 49ers have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.3 plays per game.
  • Patrick Taylor profiles as one of the worst pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging a measly 5.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 17th percentile among RBs.
  • Patrick Taylor rates as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football among running backs, catching a measly 64.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 8th percentile.

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