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Patrick Taylor

Patrick Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Patrick Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Packers being a huge -8.5-point underdog in this game.

The projections expect the Packers as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

Patrick Taylor's 8.3% Target Share this year conveys a noteable progression in his passing offense volume over last year's 0.6% mark.

Patrick Taylor has totaled a colossal 1.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile when it comes to running backs. (This may not seem like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Packers to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Packers this year (a lowly 56.1 per game on average).

Patrick Taylor grades out as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, catching a mere 54.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 9th percentile.

With a feeble 3.1 adjusted yards per target (14th percentile) this year, Patrick Taylor stands as one of the worst RBs in the pass game in the NFL.

The Detroit Lions pass defense has given up the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.3%) vs. running backs this year (67.3%).

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