My Account Log Out

reorder

Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chiefs to pass on 64.8% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week.

At the present time, the most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (64.8% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Kansas City Chiefs.

Right now, the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs.

In this week's contest, Patrick Mahomes is projected by the projections to average the 2nd-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.7.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 3 points.

Last year, the strong Los Angeles Chargers defense has conceded a feeble 1.47 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing teams: the 9th-best rate in football.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's collection of safeties has been excellent last year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.

More Patrick Mahomes Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™