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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a big 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The Chiefs have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 59.4 plays per game.
  • After taking on 9.3% of his team's carries last year, Patrick Mahomes has played a bigger part in the ground game this year, currently accounting for 22.4%.
  • Patrick Mahomes's 37.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents an impressive growth in his rushing prowess over last year's 20.0 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 40.3% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • This week, Patrick Mahomes is expected by the predictive model to earn the fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 4.9.
  • Patrick Mahomes's 7.38 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year represents a substantial regression in his rushing ability over last year's 8.26 figure.
  • The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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