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Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In totaling a monstrous 4.2 carries per game this year, Patrick Mahomes stands among the top QBs in football (90th percentile) in regards to running workload.

After taking on 9.3% of his team's rush attempts last year, Patrick Mahomes has been more involved in the rushing attack this year, currently accounting for 22.7%.

Patrick Mahomes's 33.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year shows a noteable improvement in his rushing proficiency over last year's 20.0 rate.

Patrick Mahomes's rushing effectiveness (7.90 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (90th percentile among QBs).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 2nd-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 35.7% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-slowest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 29.02 seconds per snap.

Patrick Mahomes grades out as one of the weakest QBs in the league at generating extra running yardage, averaging a mere 0.76 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 19th percentile.

This year, the tough Detroit Lions run defense has allowed a paltry 88.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 7th-fewest in football.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Detroit's collection of DEs has been very good this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

More Patrick Mahomes Player Props

Patrick Mahomes Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6