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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 3rd-quickest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Chiefs.

Patrick Mahomes has generated 23.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in football among QBs (75th percentile).

With a stellar record of 8.1 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (96th percentile), Patrick Mahomes has been as one of the leading rushing QBs in the league this year.

When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Baltimore's unit has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, projecting as the worst in football. in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 34.6% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

While Patrick Mahomes has earned 22.1% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a less important option in Kansas City's ground game in this contest at 16.6%.

With a terrible tally of 0.58 yards-after-contact (21st percentile), Patrick Mahomes stands among the weakest rushing quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Baltimore Ravens run defense has allowed a puny 89.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the fewest in football.

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