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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.2 plays per game.

The predictive model expects Patrick Mahomes to be a more important option in his team's running game in this week's game (17.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.4% in games he has played).

Patrick Mahomes's running effectiveness (8.33 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (100th percentile when it comes to QBs).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Chiefs to be the 2nd-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 34.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

With an awful total of 0.17 yards-after-contact (20th percentile), Patrick Mahomes stands among the worst rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.

The opposing side have rushed for the 8th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 103.0 per game) against the Eagles defense since the start of last season.

The Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackles project as the 6th-best DT corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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