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Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-114/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line indicates a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 3 points.

After taking on 9.3% of his offense's carries last year, Patrick Mahomes has been called on more in the run game this year, currently making up 18.7%.

Patrick Mahomes's 29.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season signifies a material boost in his running prowess over last season's 20.0 rate.

This year, the deficient Cowboys run defense has given up a monstrous 137.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 6th-most in the NFL.

The Cowboys linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 35.8% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to see just 127.7 total plays run: the 5th-fewest out of all the games this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.

Patrick Mahomes's ground effectiveness has tailed off this season, averaging a measly 7.33 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 8.26 mark last season.

More Patrick Mahomes Player Props

Patrick Mahomes Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13