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Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-113/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

The Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.

After taking on 9.3% of his team's rush attempts last year, Patrick Mahomes has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this year, now sitting at 18.7%.

Patrick Mahomes's 29.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season signifies an impressive progression in his running prowess over last season's 20.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 37.0% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 128.7 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.

Patrick Mahomes's ground effectiveness has diminished this year, totaling a mere 7.33 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 8.26 figure last year.

This year, the imposing Indianapolis Colts run defense has allowed a feeble 94.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.

More Patrick Mahomes Player Props

Patrick Mahomes Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12