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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-103/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Right now, the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs.
  • Patrick Mahomes's ground efficiency (8.26 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league last year (100th percentile when it comes to QBs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 35.2% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • With a lousy rate of 1.19 yards-after-contact (22nd percentile), Patrick Mahomes ranks among the bottom running quarterbacks in the NFL last year.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers safeties project as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the NFL last year when it comes to defending the run.

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