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Patrick Mahomes
NFL · Player Props
Patrick Mahomes
QB · Kansas City Chiefs
Rushing Yards
Minnesota Vikings vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 5, 2023 Updated Oct 8, 2023 8:21 PM UTC
NFL Props Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -123.

Favors Over
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast Patrick Mahomes to total 4.6 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 9th-most among all QBs.
  • Patrick Mahomes has been much more involved in his offense's ground game this season (19.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (13.6%).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the best in the league last year at opening holes for runners.
Favors Under
  • The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 34.5% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • This year, the weak Minnesota Vikings run defense has conceded a whopping 3.66 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 27th-highest rate in the league.
  • The Vikings defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
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