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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 267.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 257.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 267.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • In this week's game, Patrick Mahomes is projected by the predictive model to have the 8th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 35.9.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year.
  • With a fantastic rate of 269.0 adjusted passing yards per game (95th percentile), Patrick Mahomes has been among the best QBs in the league this year.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders safeties rank as the worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a giant 13-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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