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Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 268.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 259.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 268.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 64.3% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.

In this game, Patrick Mahomes is anticipated by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 38.9.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-slowest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 29.02 seconds per snap.

Patrick Mahomes's 220.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year reflects a material decline in his throwing prowess over last year's 264.0 figure.

This year, the stout Lions defense has conceded a puny 65.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-lowest rate in the league.

The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

More Patrick Mahomes Player Props

Patrick Mahomes Passing YardsPlayer Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 6