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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New York Giants vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 230.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 235.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 230.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 61.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 58.9 plays per game.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

Our trusted projections expect Patrick Mahomes to attempt 36.7 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 5th-most out of all QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

Patrick Mahomes's 60.3% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a noteworthy decrease in his throwing accuracy over last year's 68.3% mark.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Giants defense has allowed the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to the opposing side: a paltry 4.0 YAC.

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