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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 236.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 235.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 236.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 65.5% of their plays: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.2 plays per game.
  • The projections expect Patrick Mahomes to throw 38.0 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.
  • The Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Patrick Mahomes ranks as one of the best passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 263.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 93rd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Eagles defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.
  • Patrick Mahomes's 63.2% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a meaningful diminishment in his throwing precision over last year's 68.3% rate.
  • Since the start of last season, the tough Eagles defense has given up a feeble 188.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-fewest in the league.
  • Since the start of last season, the daunting Eagles defense has given up the least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing teams: a feeble 6.8 yards.

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