Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

My Account Log Out

reorder

Patrick Mahomes

NFL · Player Props

Patrick Mahomes

QB · Kansas City Chiefs

Passing Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 12, 2025

Updated Nov 24, 2025 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 276.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 273.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 276.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.0% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.
In this contest, Patrick Mahomes is projected by the projections to average the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 38.0.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Chiefs profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 128.7 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.

More Patrick Mahomes Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow