My Account Log Out
 
 
Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 276.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 273.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 276.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.0% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.
  • In this contest, Patrick Mahomes is projected by the projections to average the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 38.0.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Chiefs profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 128.7 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™